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Friday, January 10, 2014

Currency Debasement World-wide

Fiat Currency vs 1 oz Gold1-Jan-20001-Jan-14% Change 
 Emirati Dirham1,057.254,427.88319% 
 Albanian Lek37,941.12122,671.84223% 
 Dutch Guilder480.962,136.96344% 
 Australian Dollar440.231,352.63207% 
 Barbadian or Bajan Dollar570.242,411.24323% 
 Bangladeshi Taka14,567.0493,556.11542% 
 Bahraini Dinar104.26454.52336% 
 Burundian Franc175,936.321,844,598.60948% 
 Bermudian Dollar271.301,205.62344% 
 Bruneian Dollar477.791,522.45219% 
 Bolivian Boliviano1,704.968,270.55385% 
 Brazilian Real535.682,847.49432% 
 Bahamian Dollar288.001,205.62319% 
 Botswana Pula1,324.8010,511.07693% 
 Belizean Dollar573.122,399.18319% 
 Canadian Dollar416.421,280.65208% 
 Congolese Franc1,224.861,086,263.6288584% 
 Swiss Franc459.071,076.55135% 
      
 Fiat Currency vs 1 oz Gold1-Jan-20001-Jan-14% Change 
 Chilean Peso152,438.40633,336.31315% 
 Chinese Yuan Renminbi2,384.507,296.41206% 
 Colombian Peso515,520.002,313,584.78349% 
 Costa Rican Colon84,833.28596,793.97603% 
 Cuban Peso6,048.0031,948.93428% 
 Cape Verdean Escudo30,269.6695,063.14214% 
 Czech Koruna10,308.9623,979.54133% 
 Djiboutian Franc49,608.00212,128.84328% 
 Danish Krone2,126.026,543.76208% 
 Dominican Peso4,556.1651,058.011021% 
 Algerian Dinar19,257.1294,146.86389% 
 Egyptian Pound979.728,377.25755% 
 Ethiopian Birr2,296.5122,982.13901% 
 Euro286.48877.27206% 
 Fijian Dollar576.002,288.14297% 
 British Pound178.25727.98308% 
 Gibraltar Pound178.36727.98308% 
 Gambian Dalasi3,217.8245,331.311309% 
 Guinean Franc389,836.808,171,692.361996% 
 Guatemalan Quetzal2,183.049,453.27333% 
      
 Fiat Currency vs 1 oz Gold1-Jan-20001-Jan-14% Change 
 Guyanese Dollar51,724.80244,692.64373% 
 Hong Kong Dollar2,238.919,348.46318% 
 Honduran Lempira4,184.6424,413.81483% 
 Croatian Kuna2,188.636,680.34205% 
 Haitian Gourde5,028.4852,637.37947% 
 Hungarian Forint72,763.20260,668.31258% 
 Indonesian Rupiah2,030,400.0014,660,942.01622% 
 Israeli Shekel1,195.494,182.30250% 
 Indian Rupee12,510.7274,608.38496% 
 Iranian Rial501,480.0029,868,029.885856% 
 Icelandic Krona20,805.12138,296.67565% 
 Jamaican Dollar11,865.60127,373.75973% 
 Jordanian Dinar203.90852.37318% 
 Japanese Yen29,416.32126,936.72332% 
 Kenyan Shilling20,908.80103,924.44397% 
 Comoran Franc139,115.52431,587.34210% 
 South Korean Won326,102.401,272,652.47290% 
 Kuwaiti Dinar87.55339.98288% 
 Caymanian Dollar361.36988.64174% 
 Lao or Laotian Kip2,462,400.009,644,960.00292% 
      
 Fiat Currency vs 1 oz Gold1-Jan-20001-Jan-14% Change 
 Lebanese Pound432,288.001,808,430.00318% 
 Sri Lankan Rupee20,563.20157,466.03666% 
 Liberian Dollar288.0097,594.9433787% 
 Basotho Loti1,771.2012,622.81613% 
 Lithuanian Litas1,146.243,029.03164% 
 Latvian Lat168.28614.87265% 
 Moroccan Dirham2,896.429,835.57240% 
 Burmese Kyat1,800.491,186,330.0865789% 
 Mongolian Tughrik302,227.201,977,216.80554% 
 Macau Pataca2,293.349,628.92320% 
 Mauritanian Ouguiya62,588.16347,218.56455% 
 Mauritian Rupee7,277.7636,349.44399% 
 Maldivian Rufiyaa3,121.9218,361.59488% 
 Malawian Kwacha13,305.60508,289.403720% 
 Malaysian Ringgit1,094.113,952.63261% 
 Nigerian Naira28,627.20192,778.63573% 
 Nicaraguan Cordoba3,490.5630,170.64764% 
 Norwegian Krone2,306.307,320.57217% 
 Nepalese Rupee19,903.68119,718.07501% 
 New Zealand Dollar551.201,466.30166% 
      
 Fiat Currency vs 1 oz Gold1-Jan-20001-Jan-14% Change 
 Omani Rial110.79463.92319% 
 Panamanian Balboa288.001,205.62319% 
 Peruvian Nuevo Sol1,010.023,369.11234% 
 Papua New Guinean Kina759.893,021.59298% 
 Philippine Peso11,586.2453,529.53362% 
 Pakistani Rupee14,918.40126,951.79751% 
 Paraguayan Guarani944,216.645,527,767.70485% 
 Qatari Riyal1,047.744,389.78319% 
 Rwandan Franc96,301.44811,382.26743% 
 Saudi Arabian Riyal1,080.004,521.62319% 
 Solomon Islander Dollar1,432.808,673.54505% 
 Seychellois Rupee1,545.1214,396.31832% 
 Swedish Krona2,444.547,762.25218% 
 Singapore Dollar479.291,522.45218% 
 Saint Helenian Pound178.36727.98308% 
 Sierra Leonean Leone545,322.245,169,698.56848% 
 Somali Shilling732,205.441,469,650.78101% 
 Sao Tomean Dobra664,427.5221,411,811.203123% 
 Salvadoran Colon2,505.6010,549.18321% 
 Syrian Pound12,322.08136,174.241005% 
      
 Fiat Currency vs 1 oz Gold1-Jan-20001-Jan-14% Change 
 Swazi Lilangeni1,771.2012,622.81613% 
 Thai Baht10,800.0039,411.72265% 
 Tunisian Dinar358.931,981.44452% 
 Tongan Pa'anga448.102,245.94401% 
 Trinidadian Dollar1,778.897,691.86332% 
 Taiwan New Dollar9,039.4636,028.15299% 
 Tanzanian Shilling228,096.001,907,290.84736% 
 Ukrainian Hryvna1,501.789,922.25561% 
 Ugandan Shilling426,974.403,038,162.40612% 
 US Dollar288.001,205.62319% 
 Uruguayan Peso3,329.2825,438.58664% 
 Vietnamese Dong4,015,296.0025,408,441.50533% 
 Ni-Vanuatu Vatu36,777.60114,955.87213% 
 Samoan Tala890.212,831.42218% 
 Central African CFA Franc BEAC187,358.40575,449.78207% 
 Silver Ounce53.4361.9216% 
 East Caribbean Dollar771.843,255.17322% 
 IMF Special Drawing Rights209.45782.51274% 
 CFP Franc33,744.96104,685.86210% 
 Yemeni Rial45,702.72258,967.18467% 
 South African Rand1,771.3412,622.81613% 
 Zimbabwean Dollar10,725.12436,313.883968%

Thursday, January 9, 2014

from Dr. John


"Confidence abounds. Last week, Investor’s Intelligence reported a surge in advisory sentiment to the highest bullish percentage since October 19, 2007. The National Association of Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) reported that the 3-week average equity exposure among its members increased to the highest level on record. We observe warnings from nearly every variant of overvalued, overbought, overbullish, rising-yield conditions that have accurately warned investors of oncoming market losses in a century of data, not to mention in real-time in 2000 and 2007 (see for example, my October 2007 comment Warning – Examine all Risk Exposures).

As one of many historically effective variants of this syndrome, define “overvalued” as a Shiller P/E anything higher than 18 (given an actual multiple of 25.7 here, any objections to the Shiller metric are quibbles); define “overbought” as the S&P 500 at least 8% over its 200-day average, and just to be extreme about it – within 2% of a 5-year high; define “overbullish” as a 2-week average of bulls greater than 54% with bears less than half that level – below 27%; define rising yields as a 10-year Treasury yield higher than it was 6 months earlier.

Prior to 2013, those conditions were observed only in June 2007 – about 2% from a bull market peak that would be followed by a 55% market loss; July 1999 – when optimistic investors could at least look for the S&P 500 to advance another 8% to the ultimate bull market peak in 2000, after which the market lost half its value – but not without a 12% correction between July and October 1999 first; the August 1987 pre-crash peak; the December 1972 peak, a few weeks before the New York Times quoted then-analyst Alan Greenspan saying “It’s very rare that you can be as unqualifiedly bullish as you can now” – immediately followed by a 50% market plunge; and (using imputed sentiment data) August 1929.

The deeply unfortunate part of this story is that since early 2013, these strenuously overvalued, overbought, overbullish, rising-yield conditions have been observed not only in recent weeks, but also in May 2013, with a close call as early as February 2013. No material market weakness has emerged during this period, which encourages investors to ignore the risk altogether, rather than consider the likelihood that this risk is increasing, despite being unrealized to-date."

Wednesday, January 8, 2014

@JamesGRickards - Currency Wars...still

NSA, again?


The sale of two intelligence satellites to the UAE by France for nearly a billion dollars could go south after they were found to contain American technology designed to intercept data transmitted to the ground station.
The equipment, costing 3.4 billion dirhams ($930 million), constitutes two high-resolution Pleiades-type Falcon Eye military intelligence satellites, which a top UAE defense source has said contain specific US-made components designed to intercept the satellites’ communications with their accompanying ground station, Defensenews.com said in a report.
“The discovery [of the US-made components] was reported to the [office of the] deputy supreme commander [Sheikh Mohamm ed Bin Zayed] in September,” an unnamed defense source said. “We have requested the French to change these components and also consulted with the Russian and Chinese firms.”
“If this issue is not resolved, the UAE is willing to scrap the whole deal,” said the source, adding that the incident has seen an increase in talks with Moscow, which – along with Beijing – has also been a frequent defense tech supplier to the Gulf state.